Prospect board, #605 overall
Caden Harvey
Right wing, 18.6 years old, Windsor Spitfires (OHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Caden Harvey is an 18-year-old right wing with Windsor Spitfires in the OHL. He has 2 goals and 6 assists in 8 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.50 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener33%
- AHLer (most likely)62%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
2 G, 6 A in 8 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Windsor Spitfires | OHL | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Windsor Spitfires | OHL | 68 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 0.50 |