Cage Smith

Centre, 17.7 years old, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cage Smith is a 17-year-old centre with Edmonton Oil Kings in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner2%
Middle-sixer7%
Fourth-liner14%
Tweener16%
AHLer46%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−6%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Edmonton Oil Kings	WHL	5	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Edmonton Oil Kings	WHL	34	2	6	8	0.24