Prospect board, #424 overall
Caiden Pellegrino
Centre, 17.6 years old, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL), 5′10″ 168 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Caiden Pellegrino is a 17-year-old centre with Rimouski Océanic in the QMJHL. He has 6 goals and 11 assists in 11 games, 1.55 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 5.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 168 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 7% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner7%
- Middle-sixer13%
- Fourth-liner16%
- Tweener42%
- AHLer (most likely)53%
How he got there
1His line
1.55 P/GP
6 G, 11 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−16%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 11 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 1.55 |