GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #544 overall

Callum Croskery

Defence, 18.6 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 6′1″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

28%

AHLer

Scouting report

Callum Croskery is an 18-year-old defenceman with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 5 assists in 9 games, 0.56 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 182 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 21 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair1%
  3. Second-pair4%
  4. Third-pair28%
  5. Tweener36%
  6. AHLer (most likely)58%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.56 P/GP

    0 G, 5 A in 9 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    21 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL90550.56
Last seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL43315180.42