GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1317 overall

Cameron Arquette

Left wing, 19.4 years old, Kitchener Rangers (OHL), 5′8″ 170 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cameron Arquette is a 19-year-old left wing with Kitchener Rangers in the OHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 8 assists in 13 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.66 a game last season. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.81 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 170 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener10%
  6. AHLer32%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    5 G, 8 A in 13 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +26%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKitchener RangersOHL1358131.00
Last seasonKitchener RangersOHL681728450.66