Prospect board, #446 overall
Cameron Schmidt
Right wing, 19.7 years old, Victoria Royals (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
21%
Scouting report
Cameron Schmidt is a 19-year-old right wing with Victoria Royals in the WHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 6 assists in 7 games, 1.43 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. At 19.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 9% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner9%
- Middle-sixer11%
- Fourth-liner21%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer (most likely)75%
How he got there
1His line
1.43 P/GP
4 G, 6 A in 7 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Victoria Royals | WHL | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1.43 |
| Last season | Seattle Thunderbirds | WHL | 72 | 51 | 49 | 100 | 1.39 |