Prospect board, #739 overall
Carson Smith
Left wing, 17.3 years old, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Carson Smith is a 17-year-old left wing with Moose Jaw Warriors in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 17.3 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner13%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer39%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
43 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |