Prospect board, #533 overall
Carter Meyer
Centre, 17.4 years old, Québec Remparts (QMJHL), 6′1″ 178 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
18%
Scouting report
Carter Meyer is a 17-year-old centre with Québec Remparts in the QMJHL. He has 3 goals and 9 assists in 10 games, 1.20 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.42 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 178 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner18%
- Tweener30%
- AHLer43%
How he got there
1His line
1.20 P/GP
3 G, 9 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Québec Remparts | QMJHL | 10 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 1.20 |