Prospect board, #1563 overall
Carter Wilkie
Centre, 22.5 years old, Calgary Wranglers (AHL), 6′2″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Carter Wilkie is a 22-year-old centre with Calgary Wranglers in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer31%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−16%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Calgary Wranglers | AHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Calgary Wranglers | AHL | 27 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.11 |