Prospect board, #1662 overall
Cayden Smith
Centre, 19.3 years old, Erie Otters (OHL), 5′11″ 165 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Cayden Smith is a 19-year-old centre with Erie Otters in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.61 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 165 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer15%
How he got there
1His line
0.10 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+42%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Erie Otters | OHL | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 |