Prospect board, #1779 overall
Chad Bellemare
Right wing, 20.2 years old, Sherbrooke Phœnix (QMJHL), 5′10″ 175 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Chad Bellemare is a 20-year-old right wing with Sherbrooke Phœnix in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 5 assists in 10 games, 1.10 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.63 a game last season. At 20.2 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 175 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener4%
- AHLer12%
How he got there
1His line
1.10 P/GP
6 G, 5 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sherbrooke Phœnix | QMJHL | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1.10 |
| Last season | Sherbrooke Phœnix | QMJHL | 43 | 15 | 12 | 27 | 0.63 |