Prospect board, #443 overall
Charlie Murata
Right wing, 17.6 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
22%
Scouting report
Charlie Murata is a 17-year-old right wing with Flint Firebirds in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 1 assist in 9 games, 0.56 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.31 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner22%
- Tweener34%
- AHLer (most likely)59%
How he got there
1His line
0.56 P/GP
4 G, 1 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−6%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.56 |
| Last season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 59 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 0.31 |