Prospect board, #756 overall
Chase Gaughan
Right wing, 18.2 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′3″ 190 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Chase Gaughan is an 18-year-old right wing with Sarnia Sting in the OHL. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 12 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.20 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 190 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer8%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener25%
- AHLer39%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 5 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−11%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 49 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.20 |