GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #800 overall

Chase Stillman

Right wing, 23.5 years old, Grand Rapids Griffins (AHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

AHLer

Scouting report

Chase Stillman is a 23-year-old right wing with Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner16%
  5. Tweener17%
  6. AHLer (most likely)65%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −9%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    23.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    29 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL40000.00
Last seasonAbbotsford CanucksAHL243690.38