GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #282 overall

Christian Kyrou

Defence, 23.0 years old, Belleville Senators (AHL), 5′11″ 182 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

35%

Tweener

Scouting report

Christian Kyrou is a 23-year-old defenceman with Belleville Senators in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 182 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 22 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair2%
  3. Second-pair8%
  4. Third-pair35%
  5. Tweener (most likely)55%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.67 P/GP

    0 G, 4 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    21 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    23 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBelleville SenatorsAHL60440.67
Last seasonLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL591024340.58