GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2281 overall

Cohen Massey

Defence, 20.2 years old, Victoria Royals (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cohen Massey is a 20-year-old defenceman with Victoria Royals in the WHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 20 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average only 0.76 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. At 20.2 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer5%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    0 G, 2 A in 20 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +15%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonVictoria RoyalsWHL200220.10