GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2084 overall

Cole Dubowsky

Left wing, 19.3 years old, Windsor Spitfires (OHL), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cole Dubowsky is a 19-year-old left wing with Windsor Spitfires in the OHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 3 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer9%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 3 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonWindsor SpitfiresOHL30110.33
Last seasonWindsor SpitfiresOHL341230.09