GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2027 overall

Cole Temple

Centre, 19.5 years old, Red Deer Rebels (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cole Temple is a 19-year-old centre with Red Deer Rebels in the WHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 11 games, 0.55 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.28 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer12%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.55 P/GP

    1 G, 5 A in 11 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −19%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    35 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonRed Deer RebelsWHL111560.55
Last seasonRed Deer RebelsWHL50117180.36