GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #99 overall

Collin Kim

Left wing, 15.9 years old, Kamloops Blazers (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

48%

Tweener

Scouting report

Collin Kim is a 15-year-old left wing with Kamloops Blazers in the WHL. He has 2 goals and 2 assists in 7 games, 0.57 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 15.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. His most likely outcome is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 48% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 19% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 49 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite8%
  2. First-liner19%
  3. Middle-sixer33%
  4. Fourth-liner48%
  5. Tweener (most likely)59%
  6. AHLer72%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.57 P/GP

    2 G, 2 A in 7 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    15.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    49 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKamloops BlazersWHL72240.57