Prospect board, #2059 overall
Connor Bear
Left wing, 19.3 years old, Regina Pats (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Connor Bear is a 19-year-old left wing with Regina Pats in the WHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 9 games, 0.22 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.8 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.22 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−14%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Regina Pats | WHL | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 |
| Last season | Regina Pats | WHL | 37 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0.35 |