GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #928 overall

Cooper Dennis

Right wing, 19.4 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 5′6″ 151 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

9%

AHLer

Scouting report

Cooper Dennis is a 19-year-old right wing with Peterborough Petes in the OHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 9 assists in 12 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-6 and 151 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner9%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer (most likely)53%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.25 P/GP

    6 G, 9 A in 12 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    15 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonPeterborough PetesOHL1269151.25
Last seasonBrantford BulldogsOHL683440741.09