GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #697 overall

Daniil Prokhorov

Forward, 19.4 years old, Hamilton Hammers (AHL), 6′6″ 209 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

17%

AHLer

Scouting report

Daniil Prokhorov is a 19-year-old forward with Hamilton Hammers in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 19.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 209 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner17%
  5. Tweener28%
  6. AHLer (most likely)53%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.17 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHamilton HammersAHL61010.17