GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1250 overall

David Byrne

Defence, 18.1 years old, Vancouver Giants (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

David Byrne is an 18-year-old defenceman with Vancouver Giants in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 7 games, 0.14 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair1%
  3. Second-pair3%
  4. Third-pair7%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer25%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.14 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 7 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −2%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonVancouver GiantsWHL70110.14
Last seasonTri-City AmericansWHL411340.10