Prospect board, #571 overall
David Edstrom
Centre, 21.6 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 6′3″ 205 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
David Edstrom is a 21-year-old centre with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 205 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner16%
- Tweener30%
- AHLer (most likely)92%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+16%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 53 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 0.42 |