Prospect board, #937 overall
David Lewandowski
Left wing, 19.6 years old, Saskatoon Blades (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
David Lewandowski is a 19-year-old left wing with Saskatoon Blades in the WHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 9 assists in 7 games, 1.86 a game, which works out to about 22 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.33 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener9%
- AHLer (most likely)55%
How he got there
1His line
1.86 P/GP
4 G, 9 A in 7 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
22 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
50 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Saskatoon Blades | WHL | 7 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 1.86 |
| Last season | Saskatoon Blades | WHL | 57 | 17 | 48 | 65 | 1.14 |
| Last season | Bakersfield Condors | AHL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 |