GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #384 overall

Dayne Beuker

Centre, 18.5 years old, Lethbridge Hurricanes (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

AHLer

Scouting report

Dayne Beuker is an 18-year-old centre with Lethbridge Hurricanes in the WHL. He has 6 goals and 8 assists in 11 games, 1.27 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 7% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite3%
  2. First-liner7%
  3. Middle-sixer14%
  4. Fourth-liner14%
  5. Tweener40%
  6. AHLer (most likely)65%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.27 P/GP

    6 G, 8 A in 11 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    15 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    59 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLethbridge HurricanesWHL1168141.27