Prospect board, #717 overall
Devin Kaplan
Forward, 22.7 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′3″ 200 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Devin Kaplan is a 22-year-old forward with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer (most likely)81%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 2 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | AHL | 49 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 0.27 |