Prospect board, #597 overall
Dmitry Kuzmin
Defence, 23.4 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 5′10″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Dmitry Kuzmin is a 23-year-old defenceman with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL. He has 6 goals and 9 assists in 46 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair23%
- Tweener28%
- AHLer (most likely)87%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
6 G, 9 A in 46 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+7%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 46 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.33 |