Prospect board, #2082 overall
Dominik Pavlik
Centre, 19.5 years old, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
<1%
Scouting report
Dominik Pavlik is a 19-year-old centre with Moose Jaw Warriors in the WHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 9 assists in 65 games, 0.23 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a under 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner<1%
- Tweener<1%
- AHLer15%
How he got there
1His line
0.23 P/GP
6 G, 9 A in 65 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
6 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 65 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.23 |