Prospect board, #1806 overall
Dovydas Jukna
Left wing, 19.6 years old, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL), 6′3″ 197 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Dovydas Jukna is a 19-year-old left wing with Rimouski Océanic in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 8 goals and 9 assists in 45 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.51 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 197 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.38 P/GP
8 G, 9 A in 45 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 45 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 0.38 |