GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #901 overall

Drew Murphy

Left wing, 17.1 years old, Cape Breton Eagles (QMJHL), 6′1″ 200 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Drew Murphy is a 17-year-old left wing with Cape Breton Eagles in the QMJHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 17.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 200 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 3% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite3%
  2. First-liner3%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener20%
  6. AHLer27%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 5 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +6%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    56 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonCape Breton EaglesQMJHL50000.00