Prospect board, #776 overall
Drew Roscoe
Defence, 17.5 years old, Saginaw Spirit (OHL), 6′8″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Drew Roscoe is a 17-year-old defenceman with Saginaw Spirit in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.1 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.60 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-8 and 205 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair16%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer39%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−20%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
25 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Saginaw Spirit | OHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Saginaw Spirit | OHL | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.10 |