Prospect board, #1194 overall
Duncan Anderson
Defence, 17.2 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 5′9″ 171 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Duncan Anderson is a 17-year-old defenceman with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 17.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 171 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair7%
- Tweener11%
- AHLer21%
How he got there
1His line
0.10 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Halifax Mooseheads | QMJHL | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 |