Prospect board, #1086 overall
Eddie Genborg
Forward, 19.4 years old, Grand Rapids Griffins (AHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Eddie Genborg is a 19-year-old forward with Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.27 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
At 19.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener20%
- AHLer33%
How he got there
1His line
0.27 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 11 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Grand Rapids Griffins | AHL | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.27 |