Prospect board, #48 overall
Egor Shilov
Centre, 18.4 years old, Victoriaville Tigres (QMJHL), 6′1″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
60%
Scouting report
Egor Shilov is an 18-year-old centre with Victoriaville Tigres in the QMJHL. He has 6 goals and 9 assists in 11 games, 1.36 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 187 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 60% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 32% of a first-line career and 18% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite18%
- First-liner32%
- Middle-sixer34%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)60%
- Tweener73%
- AHLer86%
How he got there
1His line
1.36 P/GP
6 G, 9 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
53 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Victoriaville Tigres | QMJHL | 11 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 1.36 |
| Last season | Victoriaville Tigres | QMJHL | 63 | 32 | 50 | 82 | 1.30 |