GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2075 overall

Elliot Dubé

Centre, 19.5 years old, Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (QMJHL), 6′1″ 178 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Elliot Dubé is a 19-year-old centre with Blainville-Boisbriand Armada in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 12 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 178 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer15%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    2 G, 1 A in 12 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +15%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    39 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL122130.25
Last seasonBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL581410240.41