Prospect board, #845 overall
Filip Vlk
Left wing, 18.2 years old, Baie-Comeau Drakkar (QMJHL), 6′2″ 170 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Filip Vlk is an 18-year-old left wing with Baie-Comeau Drakkar in the QMJHL. He has 7 goals and 7 assists in 55 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 2.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.54 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 170 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener15%
- AHLer44%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
7 G, 7 A in 55 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Baie-Comeau Drakkar | QMJHL | 55 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0.25 |