GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1293 overall

Florent Houle

Right wing, 19.1 years old, Sherbrooke Phœnix (QMJHL), 6′0″ 197 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

6%

Long shot

Scouting report

Florent Houle is a 19-year-old right wing with Sherbrooke Phœnix in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 4 assists in 5 games, 1.80 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 197 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner6%
  5. Tweener7%
  6. AHLer24%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.80 P/GP

    5 G, 4 A in 5 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    17 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −2%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    46 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL55491.80
Last seasonSherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL521922410.79