Francis Parish

Right wing, 19.5 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 5′9″ 160 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

Long shot

Scouting report

Francis Parish is a 19-year-old right wing with Peterborough Petes in the OHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 160 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer<1%
Fourth-liner1%
Tweener3%
AHLer6%

How he got there

1His line
0.18 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Peterborough Petes	OHL	11	0	2	2	0.18
Last season	Peterborough Petes	OHL	45	2	4	6	0.13