Prospect board, #539 overall
Frédéric Bergeron
Centre, 17.4 years old, Shawinigan Cataractes (QMJHL), 6′1″ 180 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
21%
Scouting report
Frédéric Bergeron is a 17-year-old centre with Shawinigan Cataractes in the QMJHL. He has 3 goals and 6 assists in 8 games, 1.12 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.31 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner21%
- Tweener28%
- AHLer47%
How he got there
1His line
1.13 P/GP
3 G, 6 A in 8 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+7%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Shawinigan Cataractes | QMJHL | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1.13 |
| Last season | Shawinigan Cataractes | QMJHL | 42 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0.31 |