GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #405 overall

Gabe Klassen

Forward, 23.2 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 5′10″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

30%

AHLer

Scouting report

Gabe Klassen is a 23-year-old forward with Utica Comets in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 182 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner30%
  5. Tweener37%
  6. AHLer (most likely)94%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +25%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    30 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUtica CometsAHL41010.25
Last seasonWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL591719360.61