Prospect board, #1572 overall
Gabriel Provencher
Right wing, 18.9 years old, Val-d'Or Foreurs (QMJHL), 5′9″ 150 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Gabriel Provencher is an 18-year-old right wing with Val-d'Or Foreurs in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 10 games, 0.60 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.42 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 150 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer16%
How he got there
1His line
0.60 P/GP
1 G, 5 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Val-d'Or Foreurs | QMJHL | 10 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.60 |