Prospect board, #731 overall
Gabriel Szturc
Centre, 23.0 years old, Syracuse Crunch (AHL), 5′11″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
14%
Scouting report
Gabriel Szturc is a 22-year-old centre with Syracuse Crunch in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 187 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner14%
- Tweener20%
- AHLer (most likely)90%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+23%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
28 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Syracuse Crunch | AHL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Syracuse Crunch | AHL | 60 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 0.32 |