Prospect board, #2153 overall
Gage Nagel
Right wing, 19.6 years old, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Gage Nagel is a 19-year-old right wing with Moose Jaw Warriors in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 8 games, 0.62 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.37 a game last season.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer9%
How he got there
1His line
0.63 P/GP
3 G, 2 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+9%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.63 |
| Last season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 43 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 0.37 |