Prospect board, #527 overall
Genc Ula
Defence, 17.9 years old, Sudbury Wolves (OHL), 6′1″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
20%
Scouting report
Genc Ula is a 17-year-old defenceman with Sudbury Wolves in the OHL. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.40 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 198 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair8%
- Third-pair20%
- Tweener34%
- AHLer (most likely)56%
How he got there
1His line
0.40 P/GP
3 G, 1 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−16%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
28 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sudbury Wolves | OHL | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 |
| Last season | Sudbury Wolves | OHL | 68 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0.24 |