GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #196 overall

Gerry DiCunzolo

Left wing, 17.3 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 5′10″ 163 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

36%

AHLer

Scouting report

Gerry DiCunzolo is a 17-year-old left wing with Peterborough Petes in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 5 assists in 39 games, 0.23 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 17.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 163 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 36% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 14% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 46 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner14%
  3. Middle-sixer25%
  4. Fourth-liner36%
  5. Tweener47%
  6. AHLer (most likely)59%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.23 P/GP

    4 G, 5 A in 39 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    3 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −8%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    46 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonPeterborough PetesOHL394590.23