GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #469 overall

Giorgos Pantelas

Defence, 18.4 years old, Penticton Vees (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

29%

AHLer

Scouting report

Giorgos Pantelas is an 18-year-old defenceman with Penticton Vees in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 10 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.54 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 2.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. Top-pair2%
  3. Second-pair6%
  4. Third-pair29%
  5. Tweener39%
  6. AHLer (most likely)61%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.20 P/GP

    0 G, 2 A in 10 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +20%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    23 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonPenticton VeesWHL100220.20
Last seasonBrandon Wheat KingsWHL68631370.54