Prospect board, #1307 overall
Graham Jones
Left wing, 19.1 years old, Penticton Vees (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Graham Jones is a 19-year-old left wing with Penticton Vees in the WHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 5 assists in 10 games, 1.10 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 2.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.72 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer38%
How he got there
1His line
1.10 P/GP
6 G, 5 A in 10 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+35%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Penticton Vees | WHL | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1.10 |