GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2010 overall

Grayden Robertson-Palmer

Centre, 19.1 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 5′11″ 192 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Grayden Robertson-Palmer is a 19-year-old centre with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 5 assists in 55 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.34 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 192 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer17%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.20 P/GP

    6 G, 5 A in 55 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −24%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL5565110.20