Prospect board, #1756 overall
Haeden Ellis
Centre, 19.5 years old, Kitchener Rangers (OHL), 5′10″ 161 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Haeden Ellis is a 19-year-old centre with Kitchener Rangers in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 13 games, 0.54 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 161 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer17%
How he got there
1His line
0.54 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 13 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+21%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.54 |
| Last season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 63 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 0.46 |